Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.184140 1.406241 1.638947 1.899342 2.181077 2.475318 2.804498
2025-01-05 0.855532 1.162290 1.505469 1.910770 2.369973 2.868534 3.445467
2025-01-12 0.654600 0.992930 1.391235 1.880137 2.451365 3.086910 3.837455
2025-01-19 0.565375 0.939948 1.399231 1.979477 2.672453 3.456496 4.395009
2025-01-26 0.502857 0.907538 1.421478 2.086319 2.894192 3.820087 4.939721
2025-02-02 0.457817 0.890405 1.457075 2.204902 3.126582 4.193867 5.494840
2025-02-09 0.427487 0.888172 1.507903 2.339349 3.375853 4.585940 6.070227
2025-02-16 0.381533 0.856848 1.516007 2.416575 3.553142 4.891576 6.544068
2025-02-23 0.324617 0.801111 1.485842 2.440625 3.661918 5.113552 6.918279
2025-03-02 0.246277 0.699022 1.383218 2.363707 3.639973 5.174982 7.100022
2025-03-09 0.177799 0.599498 1.274964 2.272017 3.593680 5.202519 7.237778
2025-03-16 0.132073 0.530342 1.204384 2.225722 3.600762 5.291448 7.445586
2025-03-23 0.105659 0.496268 1.188601 2.259603 3.718800 5.526582 7.842207
2025-03-30 0.079179 0.454533 1.157458 2.270474 3.806824 5.725746 8.197702
2025-04-06 0.052254 0.399808 1.098838 2.237332 3.833060 5.844899 8.453303
2025-04-13 0.046902 0.402752 1.137619 2.346373 4.049474 6.203496 9.002280
2025-04-20 0.043047 0.409098 1.182003 2.463666 4.277178 6.576698 9.569716
2025-04-27 0.040820 0.420142 1.234660 2.593478 4.522179 6.972332 10.165450
2025-05-04 0.040415 0.437353 1.298513 2.740363 4.790756 7.398412 10.799360
2025-05-11 0.034314 0.431996 1.320890 2.824582 4.974222 7.716666 11.300958
2025-05-18 0.024592 0.407174 1.305687 2.850790 5.077964 7.933172 11.677027
2025-05-25 0.011002 0.348289 1.220901 2.766937 5.028304 7.952037 11.807414
2025-06-01 0.002764 0.289939 1.129019 2.666846 4.952447 7.934489 11.890295